The mileage where reliability falls off a cliff
The Volkswagen Multivan's MOT pass rate drops 41 percentage points between the 0-30k and 120k+ mileage bands — the steepest fall among models with enough data to compare.
98.5%
Volkswagen Multivan at 0–30,000 mi
57.2%
Same model at 120,000+ mi
−41 pts
the size of the drop
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“The Volkswagen Multivan's MOT pass rate falls from 98.5% to 57.2% between 0–30,000 mi and 120,000+ mi — a 41-point drop.”
Steepest mileage-related pass-rate drops
Percentage-point drop from the lowest to the highest mileage band with enough data.
Volkswagen Multivan: pass rate by mileage
Every model in the ranking
| Model | Drop (points) | From | To | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkswagen Multivan | 41.3 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 1,843 |
| Nissan Qashqai | 40.3 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 825,029 |
| Kia Proceed | 40.2 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 10,241 |
| Suzuki Ignis | 39.7 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 40,636 |
| Suzuki Carry | 38.3 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 5,449 |
| Hyundai Ix20 | 37.5 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 38,952 |
| Kia Venga | 37.4 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 65,361 |
| Citroen C3 | 37.3 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 271,407 |
| Ford Puma | 36.8 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 96,367 |
| Suzuki Sx4 | 36.8 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 54,022 |
| Renault Koleos | 36.8 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 7,335 |
| Kia Picanto | 36.7 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 259,244 |
| Mazda 2 | 36.5 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 171,191 |
| Nissan X-trail | 36.1 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 138,844 |
| Nissan Juke | 35.4 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 459,368 |
| Suzuki Swift | 34.8 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 191,659 |
| Honda Jazz | 34.6 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 465,179 |
| Toyota Aygo | 34.2 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 359,583 |
| Kia Soul | 34.0 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 34,919 |
| Citroen C1 | 33.8 | 0-30k | 120k+ | 228,444 |
Methodology and data source
- Source: DVSA “Anonymised MOT tests and results”, data.gov.uk, under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
- Coverage: Full year 2024, test class 4 (cars), normal (initial) tests only.
- Mileage bands are built directly from each test's recorded odometer reading, not derived from vehicle age — a high-mileage 3-year-old and a low-mileage 15-year-old land in the same age band elsewhere on this site, but different mileage bands here.
- The 'cliff size' league table only includes models where both the lowest and highest mileage bands used clear a higher sample floor than the per-band detail table below — a handful of tests at very high mileage can't anchor a headline comparison.
- Blank or zero-mileage readings (DVSA's marker for no reading taken, e.g. an aborted test) are excluded rather than treated as zero miles.
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Frequently asked questions
- Which car models' MOT pass rate drops most at high mileage?
- The Volkswagen Multivan has the steepest drop among models with enough data: its MOT pass rate falls from its 0-30k figure to its 120k+ figure, a drop of 41.3 percentage points, based on 1,843 tests.
- Is mileage or vehicle age the bigger factor in MOT failure?
- Both matter, and they're correlated (older cars usually have covered more miles), but this data is banded directly on the odometer reading at test time, not derived from vehicle age — so it shows the mileage relationship specifically, for cars that may be any age.